INVEST 98L DROPPED BY NHC

INVEST 98L HAS BEEN DROPPED BY THE NHC. HOPEFULLY THIS MARKS THE END OF THE 2009 HURRICANE SEASON.

INVEST 98L UPDATE

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 AM EST WED NOV 11 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...


A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA CENTERED ABOUT 450 MILES SOUTH OF
BERMUDA IS PRODUCING GALE FORCE WINDS BUT MINIMAL SHOWER AND
THUNDERSTORM ACTIVITY AS IT MOVES NORTHWESTWARD AT 15 MPH. THE
OPPORTUNITY FOR SIGNIFICANT DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM IS
DIMINISHING SINCE UPPER-LEVEL WINDS ARE EXPECTED TO BECOME LESS
FAVORABLE IN A DAY OR SO. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS THAN 30
PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL CYCLONE
BEFORE IT IS ABSORBED BY A FRONT LATE THURSDAY. ADDITIONAL
INFORMATION ON THIS SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS
ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER
NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER KIMBERLAIN

INVEST 98L-NE OF PUERTO RICO

TROPICAL WEATHER OUTLOOK
NWS TPC/NATIONAL HURRICANE CENTER MIAMI FL
100 PM EST TUE NOV 10 2009

FOR THE NORTH ATLANTIC...CARIBBEAN SEA AND THE GULF OF MEXICO...

A NON-TROPICAL LOW PRESSURE AREA OVER THE CENTRAL ATLANTIC OCEAN
LOCATED ABOUT 500 MILES SOUTH-SOUTHEAST OF BERMUDA IS PRODUCING
GALE FORCE WINDS. ANY DEVELOPMENT OF THIS SYSTEM WILL LIKELY BE
SLOW TO OCCUR AS IT MOVES GENERALLY WEST-NORTHWESTWARD AT 10 TO 15
MPH OVER THE NEXT COUPLE OF DAYS. THERE IS A LOW CHANCE...LESS
THAN 30 PERCENT...OF THIS SYSTEM BECOMING A TROPICAL OR SUBTROPICAL
CYCLONE DURING THE NEXT 48 HOURS. ADDITIONAL INFORMATION ON THIS
SYSTEM CAN BE FOUND IN HIGH SEAS FORECASTS ISSUED BY THE NATIONAL
WEATHER SERVICE...UNDER AWIPS HEADER NFDHSFAT1 AND WMO HEADER
FZNT01 KWBC.

ELSEWHERE...TROPICAL CYCLONE FORMATION IS NOT EXPECTED DURING THE
NEXT 48 HOURS.

$$
FORECASTER CANGIALOSI/BLAKE

FOLLOW IDA AT CAPE CORAL ONLINE WX

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IDA UPDATE 7

RUNNING THE CHANNEL.

IDA UPDATE 6

3:00 AM CST Sun Nov 8
Location: 20.5°N 85.6°W
Max sustained: 90 mph
Moving: NW at 12 mph
Min pressure: 984 mb

IDA UPDATE 5

NHC NOW EXPECTS IDA TO BECOME A HURRICANE ONCE AGAIN. PROBABLY SOONER THAN THEY EXPECT BECAUSE IDA IS APPROACHING THE AREA OF VERY HIGH TCHP.

NHC SAYS: "MAXIMUM SUSTAINED WINDS HAVE INCREASED TO NEAR 60 MPH...95
KM/HR...WITH HIGHER GUSTS. SOME ADDITIONAL STRENGTHENING IS
FORECAST DURING THE NEXT DAY OR SO AND IDA COULD APPROACH HURRICANE
STRENGTH ON SUNDAY. SOME WEAKENING IS EXPECTED AFTER IDA ENTERS
THE GULF OF MEXICO."

IDA UPDATE 4

Ida continues to intensify as shown in this color infrared image. The NHC will likely have to upgrade their projection from topping out at a tropical storm to becoming a Hurricane. Also microwave imagery from the NRL shows a well developed eyewall forming.

IDA UPDATE 3

IDA UPDATE 2

12Z NHC plot update. Winds have increased to 50 mph and pressure has dropped three MB.

17.4N, 84.1W, Winds 45 Kts, Pressure 1000 MB, Class TS